The real statistics behind crypto recovery — what drives success and what determines your individual odds
Everyone wants a guarantee when they have lost funds. We cannot offer one — no honest recovery service can. What we can offer is a decade of documented results and a clear explanation of what determines whether recovery succeeds in a specific case.
The numbers we publish are drawn from real cases. Here is what they mean and how they apply to your situation.
Recovery probability at different stages after theft reflects the reality of how stolen funds move:
0 to 1 hour: approximately 82%. Funds often have not yet moved from initial deposit points. Exchange freeze requests can intercept assets before the attacker withdraws. This is the window where even difficult cases become straightforward.
1 to 24 hours: around 50 to 60%. Funds have typically moved at least once but rarely through more than two or three layers. Tracing is still fast and endpoints are identifiable.
1 to 7 days: 20 to 30%. Multiple layers and cross-chain movements complicate the picture. Recovery remains possible but requires more intensive investigation and depends more heavily on attacker errors.
7 days or more: below 20%, but not zero. Some cases from months or years prior have resulted in recoveries when funds sat dormant in an identifiable wallet. We assess each case individually rather than applying blanket rejection.
Attack type: Exchange hacks and OTC scams involving regulated platforms have higher recovery rates than pure DeFi exploits routed entirely through decentralized infrastructure.
Fund destination: Funds that reach a regulated custodian — an exchange with KYC requirements and legal obligations — create freeze opportunities. Funds moving entirely through mixers, privacy coins and peer-to-peer channels are significantly harder to recover.
Jurisdiction: Exchanges headquartered in cooperative jurisdictions respond faster and more completely to freeze requests. Some offshore platforms require law enforcement letters before acting.
Case documentation: Well-documented cases with complete transaction data move faster through every stage. Professional incident reports compress response timelines at both exchanges and police agencies.
Over $80 million recovered and returned to clients across more than 600 cases since 2015. Over $640 million currently in active recovery processes. These numbers update as cases close. We publish what we can verify, not projections.
The most important variable is the one you control: how quickly you contact us. Every hour matters. See the complete action plan for crypto theft response and act now rather than after the window narrows further.